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Holstebro vs Vanlose

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Allentoft P.
42' Event
Sonne M.
45' Event
Iversen N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Holstebro and Vanlose finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanlose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Holstebro
20%
Draws
47%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstebro's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Vanlose have produced (1.31).
  • Win probability leans Vanlose's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Vanlose
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Vanlose
1:2
May 18, 2024 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Holstebro
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Vanlose
4:1
Mar 23, 2024 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Holstebro
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Vanlose
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vanlose Compare

Top Goalscorer Allentoft P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 22 / 100
Vanlose 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Holstebro scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vanlose conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Holstebro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Vanlose
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
22 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 1
Helsingor
15 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 4
Holstebro
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
Page 1 of 6

Vanlose

(Away)
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
29 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 2
BK Frem
25 Aug
Allerod
1 : 4
Vanlose
22 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 0
Ringsted
15 Aug
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Vanlose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 6 5 1 0 17:7 16
2 Vanlose 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Bronshoj 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 ASA Aarhus 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
5 Naesby 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
6 Holstebro 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
7 Helsingor 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
8 BK Frem 6 2 2 2 12:9 8
9 Horsholm-Usserod 6 1 2 3 12:14 5
10 Sundby 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
11 Ringsted 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
12 Ishoj IF 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)