Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holstein Kiel II vs Hohenwestedt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holstein Kiel II play Hohenwestedt in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026. Holstein Kiel II are favorites here. Recently, Holstein Kiel II averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Hohenwestedt averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Holstein Kiel II won 2, Hohenwestedt won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Holstein Kiel II and 0.69 for Hohenwestedt. This points to a Holstein Kiel II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Holstein Kiel II
21%
Draws
20%
Hohenwestedt
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Holstein Kiel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel II picked up more points recently compared to Hohenwestedt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 28%
Hohenwestedt Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel II Hohenwestedt
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.67 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Hohenwestedt
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Hohenwestedt vs Holstein Kiel II
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel II 59 / 100
Hohenwestedt 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel II Hohenwestedt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Holstein Kiel II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holstein Kiel II attacking → ← attacking Hohenwestedt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel II scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Hohenwestedt let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Holstein Kiel II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hohenwestedt lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 29
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Todesfelde30262280:2477
2Holstein Kiel II30205583:2665
3Kilia Kiel30194787:3761
4Eichede301611359:3059
5VfR Neumunster301551061:5550
6Heider SV301451159:5847
7PSV Neumunster301351268:6244
8Phonix Lubeck B301261263:7042
9Nordmark Satrup301241444:5140
10Kaltenkirchener301061449:5336
11Rotenhof30971451:7034
12Hohenwestedt30851748:6429
13Oldenburger SV30851761:8629
14Eutin 0830761732:6527
15Inter Turkspor Kiel30622231:7720
16Preussen Reinfeld30442238:8616