Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Davidsen K.
25'
Kapralik A.
31' Event
Harres P.
Assist: Therkelsen J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Holstein Kiel and Braunschweig finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstein Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Holstein Kiel
30%
Draws
12%
Braunschweig
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holstein Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Holstein Kiel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 68%
Braunschweig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel Braunschweig
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
1:4
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
2:2
Jan 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Harres P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Braunschweig Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 50 / 100
Braunschweig 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel Braunschweig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holstein Kiel scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Braunschweig conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Holstein Kiel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS Braunschweig
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6

Braunschweig

(Away)
19 Sept
Kaiserslautern
1 : 0
Braunschweig
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
06 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 1
Braunschweig
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
23 Aug
Braunschweig
2 : 4
Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)