Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holstein Kiel vs Sonderjyske

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hyseni O.
42' Event
Kapralik A.
68' Event
Davidsen K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Holstein Kiel and Sonderjyske finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstein Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Holstein Kiel
30%
Draws
41%
Sonderjyske
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sonderjyske

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel's 1.36 goals per match outpaces what Sonderjyske have produced (1.3).
  • Model gives Holstein Kiel a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 19%
Sonderjyske Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel Sonderjyske
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Sonderjyske
2:1
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Sonderjyske
0:0
Jan 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Sonderjyske vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Jul 8, 2016 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Sonderjyske
1:1
Jul 11, 2015 Club Friendly
Sonderjyske vs Holstein Kiel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapralik A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davidsen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sonderjyske Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyseni O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 40 / 100
Sonderjyske 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel Sonderjyske

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sonderjyske let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Holstein Kiel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS Sonderjyske
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
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Sonderjyske

(Away)
20 Sept
Sonderjyske
4 : 2
Randers FC
16 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 1
Sonderjyske
13 Sept
Lyngby
1 : 1
Sonderjyske
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
03 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Sonderjyske
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