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Stadium Background

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Fabinski R.
9'
Gomez J.
10'
Zec D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Holstein Kiel
35%
Draws
32%
VfL Osnabruck
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • VfL Osnabruck have won more games recently than Holstein Kiel.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 15%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel VfL Osnabruck
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
VfL Osnabruck vs Holstein Kiel
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
4:0
Nov 4, 2023 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 30 / 100
VfL Osnabruck 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel VfL Osnabruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: VfL Osnabruck conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Holstein Kiel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS VfL Osnabruck
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1
Viborg
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
Page 1 of 6

VfL Osnabruck

(Away)
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
02 Oct
Bochum
4 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
23 Sept
Wiedenbruck
0 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)