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Holyhead vs Bala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holyhead host Bala in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Holyhead at 1.5 goals for, 1.53 against; Bala at 1.67 for, 1.73 against. Head-to-head, Holyhead have won 2 to Bala's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 3:4. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.88) point toward Holyhead. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Holyhead
35%
Draws
12%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Holyhead have won more games recently than Bala.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Holyhead taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Bala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Bala vs Holyhead
3:4
Feb 6, 2016 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Bala
1:3
Apr 25, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Holyhead
1:4
Aug 23, 2008 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Bala
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 83 / 100
Bala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Holyhead has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Holyhead scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Bala has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Bala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
24 Oct
Buckley
0 : 2
Holyhead
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
31 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
1 : 1
Bala
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)