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Holyhead vs Flint Mountain

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Williams J. L.
38' Event
Johnson S.
43' Event
Jones Co.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Flint Mountain finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
36%
Flint Mountain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Flint Mountain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Flint Mountain
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Flint Mountain vs Holyhead
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Flint Mountain
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones Co.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Flint Mountain Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 31 / 100
Flint Mountain 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Flint Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Flint Mountain conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Holyhead found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Flint Mountain lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Flint Mountain
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Holyhead
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

Flint Mountain

(Away)
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1
Flint Mountain
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
28 Mar
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 1
Flint Mountain
24 Mar
Flint Mountain
1 : 0
Guilsfield
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)