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Holyhead vs Mold Alexandra

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Cordiner O.
59'
Nash H.
59'
Nash H.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Mold Alexandra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Holyhead
30%
Draws
23%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Holyhead a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 16%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Mold Alexandra
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
3:1
Oct 8, 2022 FA Cup
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
3:1
Oct 1, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Mold Alexandra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordiner O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 66 / 100
Mold Alexandra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Holyhead scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Holyhead remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Mold Alexandra
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Mold Alexandra

(Away)
08 Aug
Guilsfield
3 : 2
Mold Alexandra
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Caersws FC
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
30 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1
Flint Mountain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
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