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Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Davies R.
36' Event
Owen C.
67' Event
Williams C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Holyhead and Penrhyncoch finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch haven't matched Holyhead's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Holyhead a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Holyhead went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Penrhyncoch registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Holyhead's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Penrhyncoch
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
24 Oct
Buckley
0 : 2
Holyhead
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
10 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 1
Penrhyncoch
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)