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Holyhead vs Rhyl

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hodson L.
68' Event
Owen C.
72' Event
Williams C.

AI Match Summary

Holyhead in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Holyhead
20%
Draws
29%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rhyl have won more games recently than Holyhead.
  • Holyhead are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Rhyl
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Rhyl
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Holyhead
4:3
Mar 8, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Rhyl
3:2
Oct 26, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Holyhead
5:0
Mar 24, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Rhyl
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Owen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 67 / 100
Rhyl 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Holyhead scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Holyhead stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Rhyl
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Holyhead
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
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Rhyl

(Away)
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Rhyl
01 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 1
Guilsfield
14 Jul
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Rhyl
06 Jul
Colwyn Bay
3 : 2
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)