Sport Picks
Holyhead vs Trearddur Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
1'
1'
Owen K.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Donohue D.
(Penalty)
2'
2'
Jones I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Holyhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trearddur Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Holyhead come out ahead of Trearddur Bay on wins alone.
- Trearddur Bay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Holyhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Trearddur Bay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holyhead | Trearddur Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 13 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Trearddur Bay
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holyhead 10 / 100
Trearddur Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holyhead Trearddur Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trearddur Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trearddur Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 13 matches.
Holyhead's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Holyhead stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Holyhead VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Holyhead
(Home) 02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2 Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0 Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2 Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Trearddur Bay
(Away) 31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
13 Dec
Trearddur Bay
5 : 3 Newport City
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 3
31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
16 Nov
Holyhead
1 : 0 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
