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Holywell Town FC vs Briton Ferry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Jones J.
25'
Morris H.
30' Event
Yonsian F.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Holywell Town FC and Briton Ferry finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Holywell Town FC
30%
Draws
58%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Briton Ferry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Briton Ferry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Briton Ferry taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Briton Ferry
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonsian F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Briton Ferry Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Briton Ferry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Briton Ferry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holywell Town FC scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Briton Ferry has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Briton Ferry
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)