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Holywell Town FC vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Breese J.
41' Event
Breese J.
45' Event
Hewitt I.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holywell Town FC and Caersws FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Holywell Town FC
39%
Draws
30%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Holywell Town FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 17%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Caersws FC
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Caersws FC
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Holywell Town FC
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Holywell Town FC
2:0
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Caersws FC
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Caersws FC vs Holywell Town FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Breese J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hewitt I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowlands T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 31 / 100
Caersws FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Caersws FC conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Caersws FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
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Caersws FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0
Denbigh
13 Apr
Caersws FC
3 : 2
Buckley
11 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 1
Caersws FC
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Gresford
0 : 2
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423
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