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Holywell Town FC vs Cefn Druids Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Andrews D.
48' Event
Winslade M.
58' Event
Forbes D.

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Holywell Town FC
30%
Draws
47%
Cefn Druids
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cefn Druids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Cefn Druids haven't matched Holywell Town FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Holywell Town FC a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 14%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Cefn Druids
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.98 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Cefn Druids
4:0
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Holywell Town FC
0:3
Sep 7, 2016 League Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Cefn Druids
3:5
Apr 16, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Cefn Druids
1:1
Aug 22, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Cefn Druids vs Holywell Town FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrews D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Winslade M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cefn Druids Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 84 / 100
Cefn Druids 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Cefn Druids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holywell Town FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Cefn Druids let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cefn Druids's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 8

Cefn Druids

(Away)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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