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Holywell Town FC vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Holywell Town FC Logo

Holywell Town FC

1 - 3
FT
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mehasseb H.
33' Event
Franklin H.
36' Event
Hewitt I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Holywell Town FC
15%
Draws
80%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Connahs Q. lately — more wins on the board than Holywell Town FC.
  • Win probability leans Connahs Q.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Connahs Q. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Connahs Q.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Connahs Q.
1:3
Sep 20, 2022 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs Holywell Town FC
1:0
Oct 26, 2021 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs Holywell Town FC
4:0
Apr 4, 1999 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Holywell Town FC
4:2
Dec 25, 1998 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Connahs Q.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hewitt I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehasseb H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franklin H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Connahs Q. conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Holywell Town FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Connahs Q.
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
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Connahs Q.

(Away)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)