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Holywell Town FC vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC play Holyhead in the Cymru North 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Holywell Town FC averaged 2.53 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Holyhead averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Holywell Town FC won 3, Holyhead won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Holywell Town FC and 1.31 for Holyhead. This points to a Holywell Town FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Holywell Town FC
27%
Draws
27%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Holywell Town FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC picked up more points recently compared to Holyhead.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 18%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Holyhead
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Holyhead vs Holywell Town FC
2:2
Jan 1, 2026 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Holyhead
4:1
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Holywell Town FC
0:1
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Holywell Town FC
0:6
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Holyhead
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sconce J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breese J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 45 / 100
Holyhead 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Holyhead

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Holywell Town FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holywell Town FC attacking → ← attacking Holyhead

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Holyhead let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Holyhead lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 39
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423