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Holywell Town FC vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC host Penybont in the Cymru Premier. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Holywell Town FC at 1.83 goals for, 2.34 against; Penybont at 1.21 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Holywell Town FC have won 0 to Penybont's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 2.38) back Penybont to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Holywell Town FC
15%
Draws
78%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC haven't matched Penybont's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Penybont taking it.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Penybont
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Penybont vs Holywell Town FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Penybont 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Penybont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Penybont has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Penybont
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Penybont

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)