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Holywell Town FC vs Penycae FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2013/2014
Holywell Town FC Logo

Holywell Town FC

3 - 0
FT
Penycae FC Logo

Penycae FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Holywell Town FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Holywell Town FC
6%
Draws
4%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Holywell Town FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Holywell Town FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Holywell Town FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Holywell Town FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 18%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Penycae FC
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 18 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 FA Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Penycae FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 85 / 100
Penycae FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Penycae FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holywell Town FC scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Penycae FC conceded in 100% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Holywell Town FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 7

Penycae FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5
Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3
Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Guilsfield6
Machynlleth1
Gwalchmai2
Llanfair United3
Rhydymwyn2
Caerwys1
Pwllheli0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Cambrian United4
Butetown FC0
Goytre AFC1
Pontardawe2
Goytre Utd3
Trefelin1
Newcastle Emlyn1
Chepstow Town2
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nefyn United2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC1
Denbigh0
Caersws FC2
Porthmadog1
Mold Alexandra0
Llanrug1
Caernarfon4
Ton Pentre3
Fairfield United FC0
Llwydcoed1
Sully Sports3
Llanidloes Town3
Glan Conwy FC1
Llanrhaeadr1
Llandudno FC5
Treharris Athletic3
Llantwit Major2
AFC Porth1
Monmouth2
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest3
West End2
Aberaeron1
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Llandrindod3
Newport Civil Service0
Cardiff Hibernian0
Caerau Ely4
Penycae FC7
Brickfield Rangers4
Penrhyncoch0
Holywell Town FC3
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Town3
Llanberis FC1
Llanrwst United3
Conwy Borough4
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Penybont1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Splott1
Caldicot2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Aberdare Town4
Treowen2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Briton Ferry3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Buckley2
Llangollen0
Chirk AAA FC0
Rhayader1
Tywyn Bryncrug3
Berriew FC2
Glantraeth FC2
Bodedern3
Cefn Druids3
Holyhead0
Coedpoeth2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United6
Undy5
Presteigne St. Andrews2
Taffs Well0
Barry Town1
Rhoose FC2
Garden Village1
Bridgend Street1
Tata Steel3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Guilsfield1
Llanfair United2
Rhydymwyn4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Cambrian United2
Pontardawe0
Goytre Utd0
Chepstow Town1
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Nefyn United1
Caersws FC3
Porthmadog2
Caernarfon1
Ton Pentre0
Sully Sports1
Llanidloes Town2
Llandudno FC0
Treharris Athletic1
Monmouth7
Newtown-
TBD-
Haverfordwest1
Cardiff Metropolitan University6
Llandrindod4
Caerau Ely3
Penycae FC0
Holywell Town FC3
TNS-
TBD-
Flint Town2
Conwy Borough3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Penybont0
Caldicot3
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Aberdare Town3
Briton Ferry2
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Buckley1
Rhayader0
Tywyn Bryncrug1
Bodedern5
Cefn Druids3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United1
Undy3
Barry Town4
Rhoose FC1
Tata Steel0
TBD-
Bala-
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth4
Llanfair United2
Rhydymwyn0
Afan Lido2
Cambrian United3
Chepstow Town1
Connahs Q.1
Caersws FC2
Porthmadog2
Sully Sports1
Llanidloes Town1
Monmouth2
Newtown2
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Llandrindod1
Holywell Town FC3
TNS2
Conwy Borough1
Port Talbot1
Carmarthen Town2
Bangor City2
Rhyl1
Penybont0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberdare Town4
Prestatyn2
Buckley0
Bodedern2
Cefn Druids5
Barry Town2
Rhoose FC1
Bala6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth5
Afan Lido1
Cambrian United3
Caersws FC4
Porthmadog3
Monmouth2
Newtown2
Holywell Town FC3
TNS2
Carmarthen Town0
Bangor City0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberdare Town4
Bodedern1
Cefn Druids0
Bala5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth2
Caersws FC1
Porthmadog1
Holywell Town FC2
TNS2
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Aberdare Town1
Bala2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth3
Holywell Town FC1
TNS2
Bala1
Final
Aberystwyth2
TNS3