Sport Picks
Holywell Town FC vs TNS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell 
Match Events
31'
31'
Young B.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Sullivan D.
48'
48'
Hughes R.
AI Match Summary
TNS in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored TNS.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
5%
15%
80%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- TNS have won more games recently than Holywell Town FC.
- TNS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- TNS have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
TNS Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holywell Town FC | TNS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs TNS
1:6
Sep 29, 2015 League Cup
TNS vs Holywell Town FC
7:1
Jan 22, 1999 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Holywell Town FC
2:0
Sep 18, 1998 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs TNS
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holywell Town FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
TNS Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lock J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
TNS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holywell Town FC TNS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TNS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holywell Town FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.
TNS has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Holywell Town FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Holywell Town FC VS TNS
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Holywell Town FC
(Home) 09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
TNS
(Away) 09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0 Cambrian United
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 TNS
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 TNS
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
