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Holzheim vs Baumberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Holzheim Logo

Holzheim

4 - 2
FT
Baumberg Logo

Baumberg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Holzheim in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holzheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Holzheim
30%
Draws
54%
Baumberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Baumberg average 1.56 goals a game right now, well clear of Holzheim's 1.48.
  • Model gives Baumberg a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Holzheim Clean Sheet 10%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holzheim Baumberg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Holzheim vs Baumberg
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Holzheim
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holzheim 10 / 100
Baumberg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holzheim Baumberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Holzheim found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Baumberg let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Holzheim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holzheim VS Baumberg
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holzheim

(Home)
15 Aug
Holzheim
1 : 5
Uerdingen
07 Jun
Holzheim
3 : 4
Schonnebeck
31 May
Dingden
0 : 0
Holzheim
17 May
Holzheim
2 : 2
Germania Ratingen
10 May
Hilden
5 : 0
Holzheim
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Baumberg

(Away)
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
07 Jun
Buderich
3 : 1
Baumberg
31 May
Baumberg
7 : 1
SV Biemenhorst
17 May
Sonsbeck
2 : 4
Baumberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)