Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Homberg vs SC St.Tonis

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC St.Tonis in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC St.Tonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Homberg
30%
Draws
47%
SC St.Tonis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC St.Tonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC St.Tonis lately — more wins on the board than Homberg.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on SC St.Tonis taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • SC St.Tonis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Homberg Clean Sheet 10%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homberg SC St.Tonis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.52 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs SC St.Tonis
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Homberg
4:0
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Homberg
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs SC St.Tonis
1:3
Feb 18, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs Homberg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homberg 22 / 100
SC St.Tonis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homberg SC St.Tonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St.Tonis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC St.Tonis conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Homberg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Homberg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Homberg VS SC St.Tonis
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.6 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Homberg

(Home)
19 Jul
Homberg
3 : 3
Dusseldorf II
07 Jun
Homberg
1 : 2
Kleve
30 May
Schonnebeck
4 : 0
Homberg
17 May
Homberg
5 : 1
Dingden
08 May
Germania Ratingen
3 : 1
Homberg
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SC St.Tonis

(Away)
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
30 Aug
SC St.Tonis
3 : 3
FC Monheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)