Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Homs Al Fidaa enters this Premier League fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 62%. Homs Al Fidaa averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in recent matches. Foutoua shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Homs Al Fidaa, 2 wins for Foutoua, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.06.26 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Homs Al Fidaa and 0.69 for Foutoua, suggesting the primary value lies in the Homs Al Fidaa double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Homs Al Fidaa picked up more points recently compared to Foutoua.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Homs Al Fidaa | Foutoua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Tactical Matchup Profile
Field Positions & Control Styles
Homs Al Fidaa
Foutoua
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Homs Al Fidaa Compare
Foutoua Compare
Availability Alerts
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Expected Match Flow Timeline
Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals
Homs Al Fidaa is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Foutoua will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Homs Al Fidaa's attacks.
Expect Homs Al Fidaa to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Homs Al Fidaa vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Foutoua, allowing Homs Al Fidaa's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Homs Al Fidaa, while Foutoua takes risks to salvage a result.
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Homs Al Fidaa have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Foutoua have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Homs Al Fidaa remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Foutoua suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad Aleppo | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 83:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Homs Al Fidaa | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 55:12 | 72 |
| 3 | Al Wahda | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 53:24 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Karamah | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 55:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Al Taliya | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:24 | 47 |
| 6 | Hottin | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Tishreen | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Al Jaish | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 9 | Damascus Al-Ahli | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 10 | Horriya | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 30:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:47 | 33 |
| 12 | Foutoua | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 13 | Umayya | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27:44 | 24 |
| 14 | Khan Shaykhun | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:53 | 23 |
| 15 | Jableh | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27:60 | 22 |
| 16 | Al-Shouleh | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14:51 | 17 |