Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Homs Al Fidaa vs Hottin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
29' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Homs Al Fidaa and Hottin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Homs Al Fidaa
20%
Draws
19%
Hottin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Homs Al Fidaa come out ahead of Hottin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Homs Al Fidaa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 68%
Hottin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Hottin
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 23 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Hottin
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Hottin
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Hottin vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:0
Nov 22, 2024 Premier League
Hottin vs Homs Al Fidaa
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Hottin vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 95 / 100
Hottin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Hottin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Homs Al Fidaa scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Homs Al Fidaa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hottin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Hottin let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Hottin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Homs Al Fidaa

(Home)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
Page 1 of 7

Hottin

(Away)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Hottin
1 : 0
Khan Shaykhun
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Al Karamah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Taliya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Tishreen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Shorta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Horriya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)