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Homs Al Fidaa vs Khan Shaykhun

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
23' Event
37' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Homs Al Fidaa and Khan Shaykhun finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Homs Al Fidaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Homs Al Fidaa
6%
Draws
4%
Khan Shaykhun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Khan Shaykhun haven't matched Homs Al Fidaa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Homs Al Fidaa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Shaykhun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Khan Shaykhun
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Khan Shaykhun vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:1
Mar 23, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Khan Shaykhun
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Khan Shaykhun Compare

Top Goalscorer Belmokadem O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 85 / 100
Khan Shaykhun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Khan Shaykhun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Homs Al Fidaa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Khan Shaykhun let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Homs Al Fidaa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Khan Shaykhun
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117