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Honduras U23 vs Colombia U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Pan American Games 1995
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Colombia U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Honduras U23
15%
Draws
42%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honduras U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Honduras U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Colombia U23 taking it.
  • Honduras U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Honduras U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2023 Pan American Games
Colombia U23 vs Honduras U23
2:0
Mar 24, 1995 Pan American Games
Honduras U23 vs Colombia U23
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras U23 28 / 100
Colombia U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras U23 Colombia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Colombia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Colombia U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Honduras U23 VS Colombia U23
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras U23

(Home)
01 Nov
Dominican Republic U23
1 : 3
Honduras U23
29 Oct
Brazil U23
3 : 0
Honduras U23
26 Oct
USA U23
2 : 1
Honduras U23
23 Oct
Colombia U23
2 : 0
Honduras U23
12 Jul
Japan U23
3 : 1
Honduras U23
Page 1 of 6

Colombia U23

(Away)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentina U23 1
Chile U23 0
Brazil U23 0
Honduras U23 1
Paraguay U23 0
Colombia U23 2
Mexico U23 3
Costa Rica U23 2
Semi-finals
Argentina U23 3
Honduras U23 2
Colombia U23 1
Mexico U23 2
Final
Argentina U23 1
Mexico U23 0
Honduras U23 0
Colombia U23 3