Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honduras U23 vs Mexico U23

World World

Pan American Games 1999
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Mexico U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Honduras U23
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Honduras U23 haven't matched Mexico U23's recent run of results.
  • Mexico U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Mexico U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U23, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U23 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Honduras U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras U23 Mexico U23
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2021 Olympic Games
Honduras U23 vs Mexico U23
1:2
Aug 7, 2019 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Honduras U23
1:2
Aug 7, 1999 Pan American Games
Honduras U23 vs Mexico U23
1:3
Aug 11, 1991 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Honduras U23
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras U23 22 / 100
Mexico U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras U23 Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Honduras U23 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Honduras U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honduras U23 VS Mexico U23
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras U23

(Home)
01 Nov
Dominican Republic U23
1 : 3
Honduras U23
29 Oct
Brazil U23
3 : 0
Honduras U23
26 Oct
USA U23
2 : 1
Honduras U23
23 Oct
Colombia U23
2 : 0
Honduras U23
12 Jul
Japan U23
3 : 1
Honduras U23
Page 1 of 7

Mexico U23

(Away)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Honduras U23 2
Canada U23 0
Mexico U23 4
USA U23 0
Final
Honduras U23 1
Mexico U23 3
Canada U23 1
USA U23 2