Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honefoss vs KFUM Oslo

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Honefoss have averaged 2.79 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against KFUM Oslo's 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Honefoss slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2023, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.50 - 1.56) back Honefoss to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Honefoss
15%
Draws
35%
KFUM Oslo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honefoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Honefoss have won more games recently than KFUM Oslo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Honefoss have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KFUM Oslo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 15%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss KFUM Oslo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 NM Cup
Honefoss vs KFUM Oslo
1:4
Mar 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Honefoss vs KFUM Oslo
2:2
May 11, 2011 NM Cup
KFUM Oslo vs Honefoss
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 30 / 100
KFUM Oslo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss KFUM Oslo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honefoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Honefoss went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: KFUM Oslo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS KFUM Oslo
3.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss

(Home)
19 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Honefoss
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1
Grorud
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1
Follo
22 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 4
Honefoss
Page 1 of 6

KFUM Oslo

(Away)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
22 Aug
Ready
0 : 4
KFUM Oslo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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