Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honefoss vs Skeid

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup Hønefoss Stadion, Hønefoss
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Elvevold H.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Nilsen O.
74' Event
Fiksdal J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Honefoss
15%
Draws
31%
Skeid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honefoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Honefoss come out ahead of Skeid on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Honefoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Honefoss have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Honefoss, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Honefoss have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 14%
Skeid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss Skeid
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Skeid
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Honefoss vs Skeid
2:2
Oct 18, 2009 OBOS-ligaen
Honefoss vs Skeid
6:0
May 5, 2009 OBOS-ligaen
Skeid vs Honefoss
0:4
Oct 28, 2007 OBOS-ligaen
Skeid vs Honefoss
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Skeid Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiksdal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badiane A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 84 / 100
Skeid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss Skeid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honefoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Skeid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Honefoss stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS Skeid
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss

(Home)
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1
Follo
22 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 4
Honefoss
16 Aug
Stjordals Blink
4 : 2
Honefoss
08 Aug
Honefoss
9 : 1
Ull/Kisa
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Skeid

(Away)
05 Sept
Skeid
4 : 1
Kjelsas
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1
Skeid
22 Aug
Nordstrand
1 : 4
Skeid
16 Aug
Skeid
0 : 5
Levanger
09 Aug
Rana FK
2 : 0
Skeid
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Grorud 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
3 Lorenskog 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
4 Eik-Tonsberg 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
5 Baerum 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 4 3 1 0 14:6 10
2 Honefoss 4 2 1 1 13:8 7
3 Asker 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
4 Ull/Kisa 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
5 Lokomotiv Oslo 4 0 1 3 3:14 1
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)