Sport Picks
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hong Kong
Premier League 
Match Events
35'
35'
Mirwasser W.
35'
35'
Baffoe N.
46'
46'
Sub
Villalobos E. In: Luis Phelipe
Out: Villalobos E.
AI Match Summary
Lee Man Warriors in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lee Man Warriors.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Lee Man Warriors have won more games recently than Hong Kong FC.
- Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lee Man Warriors have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hong Kong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hong Kong FC | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 21 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.83 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC
7:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors
0:4
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hong Kong FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Baffoe N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chan Y. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hong Kong FC 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hong Kong FC Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Hong Kong FC scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Hong Kong FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hong Kong FC VS Lee Man Warriors
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hong Kong FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Kitchee
4 : 0 Hong Kong FC
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3 Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Kowloon City
4 : 1 Hong Kong FC
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2 Hong Kong FC
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
Hong Kong FC
2 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4 Southern District
15 Mar
Hong Kong FC
0 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
08 Mar
Hong Kong FC
1 : 3 North District
Page 1 of 3
Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
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19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North District | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Kitchee | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Lee Man Warriors | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 5 | Southern District | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Shatin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 11 | Eastern AA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 3 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
