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Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong Rangers host Lee Man Warriors in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lee Man Warriors have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Hong Kong Rangers have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Hong Kong Rangers slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.06 - 2.50) back Lee Man Warriors to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Hong Kong Rangers
15%
Draws
71%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lee Man Warriors come out ahead of Hong Kong Rangers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hong Kong Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong Rangers Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 1.28 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 FA Cup
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
4:3
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong Rangers
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Hong Kong Rangers vs Lee Man Warriors
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong Rangers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong Rangers 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong Rangers Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Hong Kong Rangers scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Lee Man Warriors has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Hong Kong Rangers has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong Rangers VS Lee Man Warriors
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong Rangers

(Home)
04 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Tai Po
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Eastern District
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 North District 4 3 1 0 12:0 10
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
7 Eastern AA 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
8 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
9 Hong Kong Rangers 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
10 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
11 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)