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Hong Kong U16 vs Mongolia U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
45' Event
63' Event

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong U16 in this AFC Championship U16 2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hong Kong U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hong Kong U16
15%
Draws
28%
Mongolia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hong Kong U16 have won more games recently than Mongolia U16.
  • Hong Kong U16 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hong Kong U16 Clean Sheet 17%
Mongolia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U16 Mongolia U16
Matches Played 21 9
Wins 9 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.86 0.78
Goals Conceded 2.05 6.44
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2015 AFC Championship U16
Hong Kong U16 vs Mongolia U16
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U16 84 / 100
Mongolia U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U16 Mongolia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U16 let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mongolia U16 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hong Kong U16's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong U16 VS Mongolia U16
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 5.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong U16

(Home)
21 Sept
North Korea U16
4 : 0
Hong Kong U16
19 Sept
Guam U16
1 : 4
Hong Kong U16
17 Sept
Hong Kong U16
2 : 1
Singapore U16
24 Sept
North Korea U16
2 : 0
Hong Kong U16
22 Sept
Hong Kong U16
1 : 2
Brunei U16
Page 1 of 5

Mongolia U16

(Away)
22 Sept
Mongolia U16
0 : 5
Timor-Leste U16
18 Sept
Vietnam U16
7 : 0
Mongolia U16
16 Sept
Mongolia U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
14 Sept
Macau U16
0 : 1
Mongolia U16
24 Sept
Mongolia U16
2 : 3
Cambodia U16
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U16 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 Yemen U16 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
3 Palestine U16 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Maldives U16 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U16 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
2 Oman U16 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Jordan U16 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Nepal U16 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U16 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Tajikistan U16 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Qatar U16 3 1 0 2 5:2 3
4 Turkmenistan U16 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U16 2 2 0 0 11:3 6
2 United Arab Emirates U16 2 1 0 1 8:7 3
3 Bangladesh U16 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
4 Pakistan U16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U16 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 India U16 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U16 3 1 0 2 2:12 3
4 Lebanon U16 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U16 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Syria U16 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Afghanistan U16 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Sri Lanka U16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U16 4 3 1 0 22:1 10
2 Laos U16 4 2 2 0 13:3 8
3 Timor-Leste U16 4 2 1 1 18:2 7
4 Philippines U16 4 1 0 3 10:24 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U16 4 0 0 4 2:35 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U16 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U16 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Singapore U16 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Cambodia U16 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U16 3 3 0 0 27:0 9
2 China U16 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Chinese Taipei U16 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Macau U16 3 0 0 3 1:29 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U16 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 Vietnam U16 3 2 0 1 23:2 6
3 Myanmar U16 3 1 0 2 12:8 3
4 Guam U16 3 0 0 3 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U16 2 2 0 0 24:0 6
2 Hong Kong U16 2 1 0 1 5:9 3
3 Mongolia U16 2 0 0 2 2:22 0
4 Brunei U16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2016 (Main)