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Hong Kong U17 vs Macau U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Hong Kong U17 Logo

Hong Kong U17

2 - 0
FT
Macau U17 Logo

Macau U17

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Hong Kong U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hong Kong U17
20%
Draws
29%
Macau U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hong Kong U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hong Kong U17 come out ahead of Macau U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hong Kong U17 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Hong Kong U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hong Kong U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Hong Kong U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Macau U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U17 Macau U17
Matches Played 13 9
Wins 4 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.23 0.33
Goals Conceded 3.31 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Hong Kong U17 vs Macau U17
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U17 83 / 100
Macau U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U17 Macau U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau U17 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Hong Kong U17's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hong Kong U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong U17 VS Macau U17
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
4.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Singapore U17
1 : 1
Hong Kong U17
28 Nov
Hong Kong U17
4 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U17
26 Nov
Vietnam U17
2 : 0
Hong Kong U17
24 Nov
Malaysia U17
1 : 0
Hong Kong U17
22 Nov
Hong Kong U17
2 : 0
Macau U17
Page 1 of 3

Macau U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands U17
0 : 2
Macau U17
28 Nov
Macau U17
0 : 4
Vietnam U17
26 Nov
Macau U17
0 : 5
Malaysia U17
24 Nov
Singapore U17
1 : 1
Macau U17
22 Nov
Hong Kong U17
2 : 0
Macau U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)