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Hong Kong U19 vs Timor-Leste U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mesquita Elias
45' Event
Lau K.
76' Event
Yin C.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U19 game between Hong Kong U19 and Timor-Leste U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hong Kong U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hong Kong U19
15%
Draws
0%
Timor-Leste U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Hong Kong U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hong Kong U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U19 Timor-Leste U19
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.08 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 AFC Championship U19
Hong Kong U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
2:1
Sep 30, 2015 AFC Championship U19
Timor-Leste U19 vs Hong Kong U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lau K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesquita Elias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U19 49 / 100
Timor-Leste U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U19 Timor-Leste U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Timor-Leste U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hong Kong U19 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Timor-Leste U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong U19 VS Timor-Leste U19
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong U19

(Home)
10 Nov
Hong Kong U19
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U19
08 Nov
Hong Kong U19
0 : 4
Indonesia U19
06 Nov
North Korea U19
1 : 1
Hong Kong U19
06 Nov
North Korea U19
5 : 1
Hong Kong U19
04 Nov
Hong Kong U19
0 : 3
Australia U19
Page 1 of 3

Timor-Leste U19

(Away)
07 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
1 : 3
Myanmar U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
23 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 2
Timor-Leste U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U19 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
2 Kuwait U19 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
3 Palestine U19 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Oman U19 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
5 Pakistan U19 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U19 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Yemen U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Turkmenistan U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Sri Lanka U19 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Lebanon U19 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Syria U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Maldives U19 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U19 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 United Arab Emirates U19 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Nepal U19 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U19 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Jordan U19 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bhutan U19 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Bangladesh U19 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Uzbekistan U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Afghanistan U19 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 India U19 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U19 4 4 0 0 27:4 12
2 Cambodia U19 4 3 0 1 18:6 9
3 Thailand U19 4 2 0 2 31:3 6
4 Brunei U19 4 1 0 3 4:26 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U19 4 0 0 4 3:44 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 3 2 1 0 13:2 7
2 Laos U19 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
3 Chinese Taipei U19 3 1 0 2 9:7 3
4 Macau U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U19 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 China U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Myanmar U19 3 1 0 2 8:5 3
4 Singapore U19 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U19 3 2 1 0 19:0 7
2 Vietnam U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 Mongolia U19 3 1 0 2 4:15 3
4 Guam U19 3 0 0 3 4:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 North Korea U19 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Hong Kong U19 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
4 Timor-Leste U19 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams