Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hong Kong U23 vs Chinese Taipei U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tan Chun-Lok
9' Event
Tarres J.
38' Event
Tan Chun-Lok

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games 2018 game between Hong Kong U23 and Chinese Taipei U23 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hong Kong U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hong Kong U23
22%
Draws
18%
Chinese Taipei U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hong Kong U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hong Kong U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hong Kong U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Asian Games 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hong Kong U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Chinese Taipei U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U23 Chinese Taipei U23
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 8 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2018 Asian Games
Hong Kong U23 vs Chinese Taipei U23
4:0
Jul 23, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Chinese Taipei U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:4
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Chinese Taipei U23 vs Hong Kong U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Chun-Lok
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tarres J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Chinese Taipei U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U23 68 / 100
Chinese Taipei U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U23 Chinese Taipei U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chinese Taipei U23 conceded in 92% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hong Kong U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Chinese Taipei U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong U23 VS Chinese Taipei U23
0.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
25% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
03 Sept
Iran U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
04 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
Hong Kong U23
07 Oct
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
Page 1 of 6

Chinese Taipei U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
1 : 3
Bhutan U23
06 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
0 : 6
Jordan U23
03 Sept
Turkmenistan U23
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei U23
24 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 1
Chinese Taipei U23
21 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U23430111:39
2Palestine U2342205:38
3Hong Kong U2342119:57
4Laos U2341034:83
5Chinese Taipei U2340130:101
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U23330010:09
2Bangladesh U2331112:44
3Thailand U2330212:32
4Qatar U2330121:81
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U23330011:19
2Syria U2332016:56
3United Arab Emirates U2331025:43
4Iraq U2300000:00
5Timor-Leste U2330033:150
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2333006:09
2Japan U2332015:16
3Pakistan U2331022:83
4Nepal U2330031:50
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2332018:26
2Malaysia U2332017:56
3Bahrain U2331115:104
4Kyrgyzstan U2330123:61
5United Arab Emirates U2300000:00
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U2331113:24
2North Korea U2331114:44
3Saudi Arabia U2331113:34
4Myanmar U2331113:44
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams