Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Uzbekistan U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong U23 play Uzbekistan U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. Uzbekistan U23 are favorites here. Recently, Hong Kong U23 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Uzbekistan U23 averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Hong Kong U23 won 0, Uzbekistan U23 won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 7, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Hong Kong U23 and 2.13 for Uzbekistan U23. This points to a Uzbekistan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Hong Kong U23

15%

Draws

56%

Uzbekistan U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Hong Kong U23 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hong Kong U23	Uzbekistan U23
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	10	24
Draws	6	6
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.03	2.31
Goals Conceded	1.9	0.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Asian Games

Uzbekistan U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Sep 25, 2023 Asian Games

Uzbekistan U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 22, 2023 Asian Games

Hong Kong U23 vs Uzbekistan U23

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Hong Kong U23 vs Uzbekistan U23

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:10

Aug 23, 2018 Asian Games

Uzbekistan U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Khoshimov U.

3 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U23 28 / 100

Uzbekistan U23 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hong Kong U23 Uzbekistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Uzbekistan U23 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hong Kong U23 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U23 let in goals in 54% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Hong Kong U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 78

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Oman U23	3	2	1	5:1	6
3	Syria U23	3	1	2	11:4	3
4	Brunei U23	3	0	3	0:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
2	Kyrgyzstan U23	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
3	Myanmar U23	2	0	1	1	1:4	1
4	Qatar U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U23	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
2	Yemen U23	3	2	0	1	8:2	6
3	Singapore U23	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Guam U23	3	0	1	2	2:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U23	3	2	1	0	7:0	7
2	Palestine U23	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
3	Bahrain U23	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Pakistan U23	3	0	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U23	3	3	0	0	19:1	9
2	Iran U23	3	2	0	1	7:1	6
3	Afghanistan U23	3	0	1	2	1:12	1
4	Hong Kong U23	3	0	1	2	0:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	3	2	1	0	21:2	7
2	Kuwait U23	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	0	2	5:10	3
4	Macau U23	3	0	0	3	0:21	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U23	2	1	1	0	3:0	4
2	China U23	2	1	1	0	2:1	4
3	India U23	2	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Maldives U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand U23	3	3	0	9:0	9
2	Malaysia U23	3	2	1	6:1	6
3	Philippines U23	3	1	2	1:9	3
4	Bangladesh U23	3	0	3	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U23	2	1	1	0	8:2	4
2	Tajikistan U23	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	Laos U23	2	0	0	2	2:9	0
4	North Korea U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U23	3	3	0	0	12:2	9
2	Cambodia U23	3	1	1	1	5:9	4
3	Lebanon U23	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	1	2	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Indonesia U23	2	2	0	11:0	6
2	Turkmenistan U23	2	1	1	4:2	3
3	Chinese Taipei U23	2	0	2	0:13	0