Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honka vs MuSa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Leppavaara stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Honka play MuSa in the Kakkonen Group B. Honka are favorites here. Recently, Honka averaged 3.28 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. MuSa averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. In past meetings, Honka won 2, MuSa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for Honka and 1.06 for MuSa. This points to a Honka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Honka
15%
Draws
22%
MuSa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Honka picked up more points recently compared to MuSa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Honka Clean Sheet 22%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honka MuSa
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 29 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 3.28 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Honka vs MuSa
7:1
Apr 24, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Honka
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honka Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyskanen R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Karppinen V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

MuSa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloziem V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honka 61 / 100
MuSa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honka MuSa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Honka & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Honka attacking → ← attacking MuSa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honka scored in 100% of their last 36 games.

MuSa let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Honka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MuSa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

89 Points in last 5 34
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1182128:1026
3HJS1153318:1518
4Pallo-Iirot1152421:1617
5Ilves 2944123:1516
6GrIFK1043313:1415
7EPS1032518:1611
8EBK1122714:278
9MuSa1113712:366
10NJS1101106:331