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Honka W vs Lahti W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Tapiolan Urheilupuisto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Meronen M.
26' Event
Makela A.
76' Event
Rautasola E.

AI Match Summary

Honka W host Lahti W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Honka W have averaged 2.13 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Lahti W's 1.63 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Honka W have won 5 to Lahti W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.19) point toward Honka W. Honka W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Honka W
33%
Draws
27%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Honka W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Honka W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lahti W.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Honka W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Kansallinen Ykkonen Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Honka W Clean Sheet 20%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honka W Lahti W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs Honka W
1:2
May 6, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs Lahti W
4:0
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs Lahti W
9:1
Aug 22, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs Honka W
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs Lahti W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Meronen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makela A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lahti W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honka W 40 / 100
Lahti W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honka W Lahti W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honka W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Lahti W let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Honka W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lahti W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honka W VS Lahti W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EBK W16123144:1039
2Honka W1593326:1230
3HJK Akatemia W1683534:2427
4HJS W1682632:2526
5ONS Oulu W1672724:2223
6JyPK W1571730:2622
7Keski-Uusimaa W1661925:3219
8KTP W16501121:4815
9TPS W1525816:3411
10Lahti W15321022:4111