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Honved vs Ujpest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Bozsik Arena, Budapest
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Honved host Ujpest in the NB I.. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Honved have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Ujpest's 1.69 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Honved have won 1 to Ujpest's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.88, favoring Honved. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Honved
20%
Draws
52%
Ujpest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ujpest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Honved carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Honved a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Honved Clean Sheet 10%
Ujpest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honved Ujpest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2023 NB I.
Honved vs Ujpest
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 NB I.
Ujpest vs Honved
2:1
Sep 1, 2022 NB I.
Honved vs Ujpest
0:0
Mar 20, 2022 NB I.
Ujpest vs Honved
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 NB I.
Honved vs Ujpest
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honved 34 / 100
Ujpest 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honved Ujpest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honved found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ujpest conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Honved has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Honved VS Ujpest
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Honved

(Home)
18 Sept
Puskas Academy
3 : 1
Honved
12 Sept
Bajai
0 : 7
Honved
06 Sept
Gyor
3 : 2
Honved
29 Aug
Honved
1 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
Page 1 of 6

Ujpest

(Away)
03 Oct
Videoton
1 : 1
Ujpest
20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1
Zalaegerszegi
13 Sept
Dorogi FC
0 : 2
Ujpest
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)