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Hoogland vs HVV Hollandia

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pronk S.
47' Event
Stevens B.
75' Event
Deen S.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2021/2022 game between Hoogland and HVV Hollandia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HVV Hollandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hoogland
39%
Draws
31%
HVV Hollandia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hoogland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 20%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogland HVV Hollandia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs HVV Hollandia
0:4
Oct 31, 2021 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs Hoogland
0:1
May 24, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs HVV Hollandia
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs Hoogland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoogland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

HVV Hollandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevens B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pronk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogland 31 / 100
HVV Hollandia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogland HVV Hollandia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HVV Hollandia let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Hoogland scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hoogland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hoogland VS HVV Hollandia
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lisse34217670:3870
2Sparta Nijkerk34197865:3864
3Sportlust341771063:4058
4DVS '33 Ermelo341841261:4158
5HSV Hoek341671153:4955
6ACV Assen341491150:4251
7Excelsior 31341491153:4751
8Barendrecht3413111072:5750
9SteDoCo341291349:4845
10Staphorst341361554:5645
11Ter Leede341351649:6744
12Harkemase Boys3410121263:6242
13VV DOVO341081643:5738
14VVSB341081650:6638
15ODIN '59349101552:6837
16VVOG341071761:8237
17Ajax (Am)341061838:5436
18GOES346101844:7828
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1OFC Oostzaan34187966:4761
2USV Hercules341851174:4659
3ADO 20 Heemskerk341771064:4658
4Gemert341512775:5757
5FC OSS '20341681062:4656
6Groene Ster341491148:5051
7Dongen3413111056:4750
8UNA341551460:5850
9HSC '21341541563:5249
10HV & CV Quick341451547:4447
11Blauw Geel341361555:5645
12DEM341361537:5045
13GVV Unitas341261641:5942
14Watergraafsmeer341261659:6940
15Hoogland341161742:6439
16EVV349101536:5937
17HVV Hollandia341051938:5535
18Westlandia34881843:6132