Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horizonte vs Treze PB

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2025 Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Pipico

AI Match Summary

Treze PB in this Serie D 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treze PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Horizonte
30%
Draws
58%
Treze PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treze PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treze PB lately — more wins on the board than Horizonte.
  • Treze PB are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%
Treze PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horizonte Treze PB
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Serie D
Treze PB vs Horizonte
0:2
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Horizonte vs Treze PB
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Treze PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horizonte 10 / 100
Treze PB 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horizonte Treze PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treze PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treze PB has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Horizonte found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Horizonte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horizonte VS Treze PB
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horizonte

(Home)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Treze PB

(Away)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Treze PB
2 : 0
CRAC
04 Jul
CRAC
2 : 1
Treze PB
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 14 8 3 3 24:10 27
2 Manauara 14 7 5 2 27:11 26
3 Manaus FC 14 6 5 3 21:17 23
4 Independencia Futebol Clube 14 6 3 5 18:19 21
5 Aguia De Maraba 14 5 5 4 22:14 20
6 Trem 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
7 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 14 4 3 7 17:24 15
8 SC Humaita 14 1 1 12 12:45 4
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 14 7 5 2 22:14 26
2 Imperatriz 14 7 3 4 17:15 24
3 Sampaio Correa 14 5 6 3 17:11 21
4 Maranhao 14 4 7 3 18:12 19
5 Iguatu 14 5 3 6 15:15 18
6 Tocantinopolis 14 3 6 5 11:17 15
7 Parnahyba 14 3 5 6 16:22 14
8 Maracana 14 3 3 8 12:22 12
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 14 8 3 3 21:9 27
2 Santa Cruz 14 8 3 3 20:10 27
3 Central SC 14 7 5 2 15:7 26
4 Ferroviario 14 5 3 6 15:19 18
5 Horizonte 14 5 2 7 14:17 17
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 14 5 2 7 13:20 17
7 Treze PB 14 4 1 9 7:20 13
8 Sousa 14 3 3 8 11:14 12
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 14 9 4 1 27:8 31
2 Lagarto 14 7 2 5 20:16 23
3 Sergipe 14 6 4 4 16:10 22
4 Juazeirense 14 6 4 4 12:15 22
5 Uniao Carmolandense 14 5 4 5 14:16 19
6 Jequie 14 4 4 6 15:16 16
7 Barcelona FC 14 2 5 7 9:20 11
8 SC Penedense 14 1 5 8 5:17 8
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecidense 14 10 2 2 32:12 32
2 Ceilandia 14 8 4 2 23:14 28
3 Luverdense 14 7 4 3 14:12 25
4 Mixto 14 6 6 2 22:13 24
5 Capital 14 4 5 5 14:12 17
6 Goiania 14 2 4 8 12:22 10
7 Goianesia 14 1 5 8 11:22 8
8 Porto Velho 14 1 4 9 9:30 7
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 14 9 3 2 22:13 30
2 Rio Branco ES 14 8 2 4 19:9 26
3 Agua Santa 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
4 Marica 14 5 4 5 14:14 19
5 Pouso Alegre 14 5 2 7 13:18 17
6 Porto Vitoria 14 4 5 5 14:13 17
7 Nova Iguacu 14 3 6 5 13:16 15
8 Boavista 14 2 3 9 9:23 9
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira 14 9 3 2 21:7 30
2 Cianorte 14 6 4 4 22:17 22
3 Goiatuba EC 14 6 4 4 21:16 22
4 FC Cascavel 14 5 6 3 15:15 21
5 Uberlandia 14 4 4 6 21:20 16
6 Monte Azul 14 3 5 6 13:18 14
7 Operario MS 14 3 5 6 13:22 14
8 Itabirito 14 1 7 6 11:22 10
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 8 2 4 20:10 26
2 EC Sao Jose (PA) 14 7 5 2 21:11 26
3 Joinville 14 6 3 5 11:11 21
4 Marcilio Dias 14 5 6 3 17:15 21
5 Guarany de Bage 14 5 4 5 11:14 19
6 Brasil de Pelotas 14 5 1 8 11:12 16
7 Sao Luiz 14 4 1 9 10:20 13
8 Azuriz 14 3 4 7 6:14 13
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)