Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horn W vs Sturm Graz W

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Women 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horn W play Sturm Graz W in the OFB Cup Women 2019/2020. Sturm Graz W are favorites here. Recently, Horn W averaged 0.86 goals scored and 3.05 conceded. Sturm Graz W averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Horn W won 0, Sturm Graz W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 26, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Horn W and 1.18 for Sturm Graz W. This points to a Sturm Graz W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Horn W
19%
Draws
58%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Horn W picked up more points recently compared to Sturm Graz W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Horn W Clean Sheet 20%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horn W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.84
Goals Conceded 3.05 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2022 OFB Cup Women
Horn W vs Sturm Graz W
0:5
Mar 6, 2021 Bundesliga Women
Horn W vs Sturm Graz W
0:2
Sep 6, 2020 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Horn W
3:0
May 23, 2020 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Horn W
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 OFB Cup Women
Horn W vs Sturm Graz W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horn W 25 / 100
Sturm Graz W 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horn W Sturm Graz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sturm Graz W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Horn W attacking → ← attacking Sturm Graz W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horn W scored in 38% of their last 21 games.

Sturm Graz W let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Horn W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sturm Graz W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25