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Horna Krupa vs AFC Nove Mesto

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - West 2025/2026 game between Horna Krupa and AFC Nove Mesto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horna Krupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Horna Krupa
28%
Draws
50%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Horna Krupa have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives AFC Nove Mesto a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Horna Krupa Clean Sheet 15%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horna Krupa AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Horna Krupa
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 4. liga - West
Horna Krupa vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horna Krupa 23 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horna Krupa AFC Nove Mesto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Horna Krupa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Horna Krupa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horna Krupa VS AFC Nove Mesto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%