Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Eastleigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Hornchurch Stadium, London 
AI Match Summary
Hornchurch in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hornchurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Hornchurch have won more games recently than Eastleigh.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hornchurch have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 19%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 27 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Eastleigh
2:0
Apr 6, 2013 National League South
Eastleigh vs Hornchurch
1:0
Nov 17, 2012 National League South
Hornchurch vs Eastleigh
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 32 / 100
Eastleigh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Eastleigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastleigh let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Hornchurch's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Eastleigh's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Eastleigh
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 8
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 5
Eastleigh
(Away) 03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Eastleigh
28 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
