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Hornchurch vs Forest Green - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Hornchurch Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rees R.
Assist: Etaluku S.
20'
Hearn H.
25'
Sub
Hearn H. In: Sandat H.
Out: Hearn H.

AI Match Summary

Forest Green in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forest Green.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hornchurch
30%
Draws
35%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Forest Green haven't matched Hornchurch's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 16%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Forest Green
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Forest Green
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Rees R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 36 / 100
Forest Green 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Forest Green conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Hornchurch scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hornchurch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Forest Green
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Forest Green

(Away)
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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