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Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Cup Hornchurch Stadium, London
Hornchurch Logo

Hornchurch

Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Fulham U21 Logo

Fulham U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hornchurch have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Fulham U21's 2.03 scored and 1.86 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Hornchurch. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hornchurch
15%
Draws
34%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fulham U21 haven't matched Hornchurch's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Hornchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 11%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Fulham U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.74 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 29 / 100
Fulham U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Hornchurch's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Fulham U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Hornchurch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Fulham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0
Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Hornchurch
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1
Fulham U21
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
4 Hornchurch 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 Fulham U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
4 Tamworth 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
5 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
7 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)