Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Ipswich U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
31'
31'
Kizzi J.
Assist: Inniss R.
46'
46'
Sub
Kizzi J. In: Moralee F.
Out: Kizzi J.
59'
59'
Kelman B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Hornchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hornchurch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 12%
Ipswich U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Ipswich U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 2.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Hornchurch vs Ipswich U21
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Kizzi J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kelman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ipswich U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 29 / 100
Ipswich U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Ipswich U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ipswich U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Hornchurch scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Ipswich U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Ipswich U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 03 Nov
Hornchurch
2 : 0 West Ham U21
30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Uxbridge
0 : 4 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hornchurch
2 : 0 West Ham U21
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 4
Ipswich U21
(Away) 03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5 Ipswich U21
30 Oct
Coventry U21
1 : 0 Ipswich U21
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Ipswich U21
5 : 0 Birmingham U21
20 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 1 Anderlecht 2
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5 Ipswich U21
30 Oct
Coventry U21
1 : 0 Ipswich U21
13 Oct
Worthing FC
1 : 2 Ipswich U21
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1 Ipswich U21
22 Sept
Luton
6 : 0 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:17 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Braintree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tamworth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sutton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Boston United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
