Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maidenhead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hornchurch have won more games recently than Maidenhead.
- Model gives Maidenhead a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 19%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Hornchurch vs Maidenhead
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Hornchurch
2:0
Feb 16, 2013 National League South
Hornchurch vs Maidenhead
0:2
Oct 2, 2012 National League South
Maidenhead vs Hornchurch
2:4
Jan 29, 2005 National League South
Maidenhead vs Hornchurch
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 20 / 100
Maidenhead 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maidenhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hornchurch's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Maidenhead let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Hornchurch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Maidenhead
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0 Hornchurch
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
28 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Woking
18 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Norwich U21
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Maidenhead
(Away) 26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
