Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Norwich U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
21'
21'
Ling S.
28'
28'
Ameen B.
Assist: Towler L.
30'
30'
Mundle R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norwich U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Hornchurch have won more games recently than Norwich U21.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Hornchurch taking it.
- Hornchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Norwich U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Norwich U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Hornchurch vs Norwich U21
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Norwich U21
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Norwich U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ameen B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Myles E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 47 / 100
Norwich U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Norwich U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Norwich U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Hornchurch found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Hornchurch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Norwich U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 03 Nov
Hornchurch
2 : 0 West Ham U21
30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Uxbridge
0 : 4 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hornchurch
2 : 0 West Ham U21
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 4
Norwich U21
(Away) 03 Nov
Braintree
3 : 1 Norwich U21
26 Oct
Derby U21
3 : 4 Norwich U21
21 Oct
Norwich U21
1 : 1 Bristol City U21
16 Oct
Norwich U21
4 : 2 West Ham U21
13 Oct
Aldershot
5 : 3 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Braintree
3 : 1 Norwich U21
26 Oct
Derby U21
3 : 4 Norwich U21
13 Oct
Aldershot
5 : 3 Norwich U21
09 Oct
Reading U21
2 : 3 Norwich U21
28 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 3 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:17 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Braintree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tamworth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sutton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Boston United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
