Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Telford

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hornchurch play Telford in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hornchurch averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Telford averaged 2 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Hornchurch won 0, Telford won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Hornchurch and 1.32 for Telford. This points to a Telford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Hornchurch

23%

Draws

43%

Telford

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Hornchurch picked up more points recently compared to Telford.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.32 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Hornchurch Clean Sheet 18%

Telford Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hornchurch	Telford
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	6	7
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.71	2
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 FA Trophy

Hornchurch vs Telford

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandat H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Telford Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenson M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Walker R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.04

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 34 / 100

Telford 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hornchurch Telford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Telford or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hornchurch attacking → ← attacking Telford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Telford let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hornchurch went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Telford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 49

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.14

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.86