Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Yeovil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Inniss R. In: Dallison T.
Out: Inniss R.
23'
23'
Sub
Baldwin J. In: Sandat H.
Out: Baldwin J.
26'
26'
Kingdon J.
AI Match Summary
Yeovil in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yeovil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeovil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than Yeovil.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Yeovil
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Pegrum C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Yeovil Compare
Top Goalscorer Westbrooke Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daly J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 34 / 100
Yeovil 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Yeovil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yeovil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hornchurch found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).
Yeovil let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Hornchurch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Yeovil
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Uxbridge
0 : 4 Hornchurch
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 8
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 5
Yeovil
(Away) 27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
24 Oct
Yeovil
1 : 2 Altrincham
20 Oct
Yeovil
5 : 2 Leatherhead
17 Oct
Leatherhead
3 : 3 Yeovil
10 Oct
Wealdstone
0 : 6 Yeovil
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
17 Oct
Leatherhead
3 : 3 Yeovil
10 Oct
Wealdstone
0 : 6 Yeovil
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1 Yeovil
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
